Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 1171.759870 1349.534144 1554.361356 1809.931062 2123.252607 2498.771607 2.988890e+03
2024-12-22 910.247036 1128.475923 1406.246253 1793.581973 2332.823419 3077.936359 4.225177e+03
2024-12-29 791.352762 1026.154097 1344.140928 1820.755816 2544.253257 3651.506369 5.586701e+03
2025-01-05 682.431957 913.851677 1241.702836 1760.355876 2602.104400 4000.655450 6.722098e+03
2025-01-12 604.080766 830.347493 1162.980546 1713.598670 2660.270513 4352.738087 7.993479e+03
2025-01-19 540.734008 759.455070 1091.045865 1661.438030 2692.406475 4660.304706 9.308388e+03
2025-01-26 516.643688 743.817664 1100.749875 1743.274797 2977.129659 5533.055679 1.235629e+04
2025-02-02 489.843362 720.267139 1093.596159 1792.928460 3210.908952 6379.994138 1.591676e+04
2025-02-09 466.533257 699.377842 1087.485881 1842.216037 3454.633463 7340.393781 2.059590e+04
2025-02-16 437.287291 665.551628 1054.654136 1834.372679 3572.993403 8037.747411 2.506029e+04
2025-02-23 421.087568 651.975191 1055.724562 1893.320368 3857.495630 9305.543803 3.325740e+04
2025-03-02 402.614296 632.606487 1043.756495 1923.001989 4079.844400 10503.055549 4.297312e+04
2025-03-09 379.400749 604.648534 1016.030219 1922.448227 4248.676384 11704.547330 5.565397e+04
2025-03-16 354.034657 570.955691 974.328586 1885.996421 4319.104217 12646.063680 6.945418e+04
2025-03-23 338.890917 554.370558 963.870652 1918.615697 4593.979856 14555.027805 9.773504e+04
2025-03-30 315.582181 520.633232 915.415325 1853.313902 4561.425311 15196.665471 1.170890e+05
2025-04-06 296.036432 492.509656 875.708280 1803.439040 4565.098728 16029.439030 1.438844e+05
2025-04-13 277.784274 465.543742 835.922471 1747.674915 4536.649999 16716.010928 1.741490e+05
2025-04-20 273.334816 464.829036 851.254289 1835.150113 5018.498137 20504.927378 3.040340e+05
2025-04-27 266.229384 458.285520 853.290516 1888.263112 5404.004453 24265.632162 5.214501e+05
2025-05-04 259.490396 451.914444 854.991965 1941.015861 5813.278471 28805.854831 9.730702e+05
2025-05-11 248.940399 437.043414 836.114664 1932.619067 5979.868438 31887.785625 1.597065e+06
2025-05-18 243.814478 432.924789 841.425716 1995.744256 6476.535617 38619.261390 4.020252e+06